The polls: Obama vs McCain

Get a load of what the Wall Street Journal says about the presidential race.

While the race between Barack Obama and Republican rival John McCain remains close among U.S. voters, Europeans have given their hearts to the likely Democratic nominee.

Now, that’s not what I’ve been hearing, the race “remains close”? I always thought 5 or 6 points in the polls was anything but close. Look at these:

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 06/16 – 07/02 47.6 41.9 Obama +5.7
Gallup Tracking 06/30 – 07/02 2641 RV 47 43 Obama +4.0
Rasmussen Tracking 06/30 – 07/02 3000 LV 49 44 Obama +5.0
CNN 06/26 – 06/29 906 RV 50 45 Obama +5.0
Democracy Corps (D) 06/22 – 06/25 2000 LV 49 45 Obama +4.0
Time 06/19 – 06/25 805 RV 47 43 Obama +4.0
LA Times/Bloomberg 06/19 – 06/23 1115 RV 49 37 Obama +12.0
Franklin & Marshall 06/16 – 06/22 1501 RV 42 36 Obama +6.0


Thanks to Real Clear Politics, I think we can see the true story. It’s a shame the conservative mouthpieces have to spin everything so much. I love the way the WSJ tried to slip the false idea that the race is close into a sentence ostensibly about the European attitudes toward Barack. Conservative readers don’t like that either, remember all the insanity about France a few years ago.

I take this as another indication of imminent defeat for these unscrupulous power brokers, and I think they know it.

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3 Comments on “The polls: Obama vs McCain”

  1. Andrew Keogh Says:

    Mike – a historic document! I posted this on Matthew Jones’ blog (US lawyer – blog: Coffeespoons) back in early May. I copy and paste – may be interesting reading…

    An opinion poll on how the British would vote if they could was published today…

    Democratic Primaries: Obama 48%Clinton 35%

    Presidential Election version A: Clinton 56% McCain 20%

    Presidential Election version B: Obama 54% McCain 19%

  2. mikeb302000 Says:

    Andrew, Yeah, I thought I demonstrated great restraint when I called the Wall Street Journal “a conservative mouthpiece”. It’s an out and out lie to say the race remains close.
    Thanks for the heads-up on coffeespoons.


  3. […] polls: Obama vs McCain – update I  On July 5th, I posted these stats from Real Clear Politics.  Over the last almost two weeks Obama has lost some ground.  The RCP […]


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